Variety Awards Circuit part is the house for all awards information and associated content material all year long, that includes the next: the official predictions for the upcoming Oscars, Emmys, Grammys and Tony Awards ceremonies, curated by Variety senior awards editor Clayton Davis. The prediction pages replicate the present standings within the race and don’t replicate private preferences for any particular person contender. As different formal (and casual) polls counsel, competitions are fluid and topic to alter based mostly on buzz and occasions. Predictions are up to date each Thursday.
Visit the prediction pages for the respective ceremonies through the hyperlinks under:
OSCARS | EMMYS | GRAMMYS | TONYS
2023 Oscars Predictions:
Best Original Song
THE LITTLE MERMAID, Halle Bailey as Ariel, 2023. ph: Giles Keyte / © Walt Disney Studios Motion Pictures / Courtesy Everett Collection
©Walt Disney Co./Courtesy Everett Collection
Weekly Commentary (Updated Oct. 10, 2023): Strategizing for the music races has grow to be more and more advanced lately, with mounting fears of vote-splitting between a number of songs.
Per Academy guidelines for submitting: “No greater than three (3) songs from anyone movie could also be submitted for Original Song, no matter author(s).”
Regarding the shortlist of 15 songs that shall be introduced in December, earlier than the official nominees in January, solely two authentic songs could be nominated as said: “No greater than two songs from anyone movie by the very same writers could also be shortlisted. If greater than two songs from a movie by the very same writers are in rivalry, the 2 songs with essentially the most votes will advance to the shortlist. However, not more than two songs from anyone movie, no matter writers, could also be nominated for the Original Song award.”
The awards crew dealing with Greta Gerwig’s field workplace smash “Barbie” has a troublesome resolution, as something submitted past the 2 memorable tracks — “What Was I Made For?” and “I’m Just Ken” — is a chance. You might have the “fallacious” songs represented, making a win harder. But with large names like Dua Lipa and Lizzo on the soundtrack, just one extra could be added to the combo.
An Oscar ceremony opening with Ryan Gosling belting out “I’m Just Ken” is one thing we will preserve praying about each day.
Given a selection, I might solely submit the 2 showstopping numbers, however with a 3rd, they need to roll the cube with Dua Lipa’s dance monitor. There’s additionally Grammy nominations forward of us.
The live-action model of the summer time blockbuster “The Little Mermaid” is angling for Oscar consideration, and the studio has confirmed three authentic songs shall be submitted for consideration, all penned by eight-time Academy Award winner Alan Menken and two-time nominee Lin-Manuel Miranda. According to Disney’s FYC awards web site, it would go forth with “For the First Time,” “The Scuttlebutt” and “Wild Uncharted Waters.” The rap quantity “Scuttlebutt” is essentially the most memorable, however the emotional “First Time” additionally has deserves. Tough one.
Read: Variety’s Awards Circuit for the newest Oscars predictions in all classes.
The submission deadline for normal classes is Nov. 18, 2023. Preliminary shortlist voting will start on Dec. 18, with the outcomes introduced on Dec. 21. The voting interval will run from Jan. 11-16, 2024, with the official nominations announcement on Jan. 23.
The 96th Oscars shall be held on Sunday, March 10.
Listed producer credit aren’t closing and are topic to alter. The Academy finally determines the official nominees.
And the Predicted Nominees Are:
- “Barbie” (Warner Bros.) — “What Was I Made For?” by Billie Eilish and Finneas
- “Barbie” (Warner Bros.) — “I’m Just Ken” by Mark Ronson and Andrew Wyatt
- “Trolls Band Together” (DreamWorks Animation) — “Better Place” by Justin Timberlake
- “Wish” (Walt Disney Pictures) — “This Wish” by Julia Michaels and Benjamin Rice
- “Rustin” (Netflix) — “Road to Freedom” by Lenny Kravitz
Next in Line
- “Barbie” (Warner Bros.) — “Dance the Night” by Caroline Ailin, Dua Lipa, Mark Ronson and Andrew Wyatt
- “Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse” (Sony Pictures) — “Am I Dreaming” by Leland Wayne, Rakim Mayers, Michael Dean, Peter Lee Johnson, Landon Wayne
- “The Color Purple” (Warner Bros.) — To be introduced
- “The Super Mario Bros. Movie” (Illumination) — “Peaches” by Jack Black, Aaron Horvath, Michael Jelenic, Eric Osmond, and John Spiker
- “Flora and Son” (Apple Original Films) — “High Life” by John Carney and Gary Clark
Other Top-Tier Possibilities
- “The Little Mermaid” (Walt Disney Pictures) — “For the First Time” by Alan Menken and Lin-Manuel Miranda
- “The Little Mermaid” (Walt Disney Pictures) — “Wild Uncharted Waters” by Alan Menken and Lin-Manuel Miranda
- “The Little Mermaid” (Walt Disney Pictures) — “The Scuttlebutt” by Alan Menken and Lin-Manuel Miranda
- “Past Lives” (A24) — “Quiet Eyes” by Zach Dawes and Sharon Von Etten
- “Theater Camp” (Searchlight Pictures) — “Camp Isn’t Home” by Noah Galvin, Molly Gordon, Nick Lieberman, Ben Platt and Mark Sonnenblick
- “Dicks: The Musical” (A24) — “All Love is Love” by Aaron Jackson and Josh Sharp
- “Dicks: The Musical” (A24) — “Out-Alpha the Alpha” by Megan Thee Stallion
- “Elemental” (Pixar) — “Steal the Show” by Lauv, Michael Matosic and Thomas Newman
- “Barbie” (Warner Bros.) — “Pink” by Andrew Wyatt, Eric Burton Frederic, Mark Ronson, Melissa Jefferson
- “Barbie” (Warner Bros.) — “Speed Drive” by Charlotte Aitchison, David James Parker, Easyfun, Ewart Everton Brown, Fabian Peter Torsson, Joakim Frans Åhlund, Klas Frans Åhlund, Michael Chapman, Nicholas Chinn, Patrik Knut Arve, Sylvia Robinson, Troy Rami
Also In Contention
- “Trolls Band Together” (DreamWorks Animation) — “Perfect” by TBA
- “Trolls Band Together” (DreamWorks Animation) — “Let’s Get Married” by TBA
- “Trolls Band Together” (DreamWorks Animation) — “Watch Me Work” by TBA
- “Trolls Band Together” (DreamWorks Animation) — “Family” by TBA
- “Wonka” (Warner Bros.) — To be introduced
- “Love Gets a Room” (Buffalo 8) — To be introduced
- “Carmen” (Sony Pictures Classics) — “Lullaby / Beyond – Vive La Musique” by Nicholas Britell
- “Carmen” (Sony Pictures Classics) — “Réponds-nous” by TBA
- “Wish” (Walt Disney Pictures) — To be introduced
- “Silver Dollar Road” (Amazon MGM Studios) — “Wounded Heart” by Ondara
All Eligible Titles (Alphabetized by Studio)**
- “Dicks: The Musical” (A24) — “All Love is Love” by Aaron Jackson and Josh Sharp
- “Dicks: The Musical” (A24) — “Out-Alpha the Alpha” by Megan Thee Stallion
- “Past Lives” (A24) — “Quiet Eyes” by Zach Dawes and Sharon Von Etten
- “Silver Dollar Road” (Amazon MGM Studios) — “Wounded Heart” by Ondara
- “Flora and Son” (Apple Original Films) — “High Life” by John Carney and Gary Clark
- “Love Gets a Room” (Buffalo 8) — To be introduced
- “Trolls Band Together” (DreamWorks Animation) — “Perfect” by TBA
- “Trolls Band Together” (DreamWorks Animation) — “Let’s Get Married” by TBA
- “Trolls Band Together” (DreamWorks Animation) — “Watch Me Work” by TBA
- “Trolls Band Together” (DreamWorks Animation) — “Family” by TBA
- “The Super Mario Bros. Movie” (Illumination) — “Peaches” by Jack Black, Aaron Horvath, Michael Jelenic, Eric Osmond, and John Spiker
- “Rustin” (Netflix) — “Road to Freedom” by Lenny Kravitz
- “Elemental” (Pixar) — “Steal the Show” by Lauv, Michael Matosic and Thomas Newman
- “Theater Camp” (Searchlight Pictures) — “Camp Isn’t Home” by Noah Galvin, Molly Gordon, Nick Lieberman, Ben Platt and Mark Sonnenblick
- “Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse” (Sony Pictures) — “Am I Dreaming” by Leland Wayne, Rakim Mayers, Michael Dean, Peter Lee Johnson, Landon Wayne
- “Carmen” (Sony Pictures Classics) — “Lullaby / Beyond – Vive La Musique” by Nicholas Britell
- “Carmen” (Sony Pictures Classics) — “Réponds-nous” by TBA
- “Carmen” (Sony Pictures Classics) — “Ven a Mí” by Nicholas Britell
- “Wonka” (Warner Bros.) — To be introduced
- “The Little Mermaid” (Walt Disney Pictures) — “For the First Time” by Alan Menken and Lin-Manuel Miranda
- “The Little Mermaid” (Walt Disney Pictures) — “Wild Uncharted Waters” by Alan Menken and Lin-Manuel Miranda
- “The Little Mermaid” (Walt Disney Pictures) — “The Scuttlebutt” by Alan Menken and Lin-Manuel Miranda
- “Wish” (Walt Disney Pictures) — To be introduced
- “Barbie” (Warner Bros.) — “Pink” by Andrew Wyatt, Eric Burton Frederic, Mark Ronson, Melissa Jefferson
- “Barbie” (Warner Bros.) — “Speed Drive” by Charlotte Aitchison, David James Parker, Easyfun, Ewart Everton Brown, Fabian Peter Torsson, Joakim Frans Åhlund, Klas Frans Åhlund, Michael Chapman, Nicholas Chinn, Patrik Knut Arve, Sylvia Robinson, Troy Rami
- “The Color Purple” (Warner Bros.) — To be introduced
2022 class winner: “RRR” (Variance Films) — “Naatu Naatu” by M. M. Keeravani (music) and Chandrabose (lyrics)
** signifies an unconfirmed launch date in 2023 or might marketing campaign within the lead or supporting classes. All launch dates are topic to alter.
Oscars Predictions Categories
BEST PICTURE | DIRECTOR | BEST ACTOR | BEST ACTRESS | SUPPORTING ACTOR | SUPPORTING ACTRESS | ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY | ADAPTED SCREENPLAY | ANIMATED FEATURE | PRODUCTION DESIGN | CINEMATOGRAPHY | COSTUME DESIGN | FILM EDITING | MAKEUP & HAIRSTYLING | SOUND | VISUAL EFFECTS | ORIGINAL SCORE | ORIGINAL SONG | DOCUMENTARY FEATURE | INTERNATIONAL FEATURE | ANIMATED SHORT | DOCUMENTARY SHORT | LIVE ACTION SHORT
About the Academy Awards
The Academy Awards, higher often called the Oscars, is Hollywood’s most prestigious inventive award within the movie trade. Since 1927, nominees and winners have been chosen by members of the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS). Seventeen branches are represented throughout the practically 10,000-person membership. The branches are actors, associates, casting administrators, cinematographers, costume designers, administrators, documentary, executives, movie editors, make-up and hairstylists, advertising and marketing and public relations, members-at-large, members-at-large (artists’ representatives), music, producers, manufacturing design, brief movies and have animation, sound, visible results and writers.
